YEH
Registered Member
Just because you don't understand that there can be many reasons for "pent-up" demand, doesn't make your explanation any better.
There was obviously "de facto" pent-up demand, simply based on the number of pre-orders.
Not surprisingly, you continue to argue for argument's sake.
Yes, there can be various reasons for pent-up demand - but by it's very definition, implies that there was existing demand which wasn't met for various reasons.
One such reason being an extra long life-cyle before the replacement such as btwn the 1G and 2G Equus (so if there was a time for pent-up demand, it would have been at the launch of the 2G Equus).
Another reason could be buyers holding off major purchases until the passing of economic uncertainty - such as the current boom in US auto sales, as buyers return after holding off from substantial purchases during the immediate years following the financial meltdown.
But in both cases - there is an implied (normal) demand that wasn't fulfilled due to extenuating circumstances.
That does not seem to be the case for the dramatic rise in pre-orders for the EQ900, as it wasn't the case for the equally dramatic rise in Optima sales.
In order for there to have been pent up demand - there had to have been 3.7x prospective buyers for the Equus who didn't end up purchasing one due to extenuating circumstances.
It's a pretty safe bet to say that there were not 110k+ prospective 2G Optima buyers yearly (so really an additional 550k or 660k during a typical 5-6 yr life-cycle) who held off on purchasing an Optima due to extenuating circumstances.
There was no such pent up demand for the Optima.
The 3G Optima saw explosive growth b/c it was much more appealing and had tons of conquest buyers; if it had been another ho-hum Optima, would never have seen that explosive growth in sales.
(And when pent-up demand for the 3G Optima actually did occur, it was when there was insufficient supply prior to US production of the Optima).
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